Science

measles-outbreak-hits-208-cases-as-federal-response-goes-off-the-rails

Measles outbreak hits 208 cases as federal response goes off the rails

Vitamin A is a fat-soluble vitamin that stays in the body. Taking too much over longer periods can cause vomiting, headache, fatigue, joint and bone pain, blurry vision, and skin and hair problems. Further, it can lead to dangerously high pressure inside the skull that pushes on the brain, as well as liver damage, confusion, coma, and other problems, according to the American Academy of Pediatrics.

Nevertheless, in an interview with Fox News this week, Kennedy endorsed an unconventional regimen of a steroid, an antibiotic and cod liver oil, praising two Texas doctors for giving it to patients. One of the doctors Kennedy championed was disciplined by the state medical board in 2003 for “unusual use of risk-filled medications,” according to a report by CNN.

In a yet more worrying sign, Reuters reported Friday afternoon that the CDC is planning to conduct a large study on whether the MMR vaccine is linked to autism. This taxpayer-funded effort would occur despite the fact that decades of research and numerous high-quality studies have already been conducted—and they have consistently disproven or found no connection between the vaccine and autism.

The agency’s move is exactly what Democratic senators feared when Kennedy was confirmed as the country’s top health official. In Senate hearings, Kennedy refused to say that vaccines do not cause autism. Democratic senators quickly warned that his anti-vaccine stance could not only move the country backward in the fight against vaccine-preventable diseases, but also hold back autism research aimed at finding the real cause(s) as well as better treatments.

“When you continue to sow doubt about settled science it makes it impossible for us to move forward,” Senator Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.) said in a Senate hearing. “It’s the relitigating and rehashing … it freezes us in place.”

Measles outbreak hits 208 cases as federal response goes off the rails Read More »

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The Starship program hits another speed bump with second consecutive failure

The flight flight plan going into Thursday’s mission called for sending Starship on a journey halfway around the world from Texas, culminating in a controlled reentry over the Indian Ocean before splashing down northwest of Australia.

The test flight was supposed to be a do-over of the previous Starship flight on January 16, when the rocket’s upper stage—itself known as Starship, or ship—succumbed to fires fueled by leaking propellants in its engine bay. Engineers determined the most likely cause of the propellant leak was a harmonic response several times stronger than predicted, suggesting the vibrations during the ship’s climb into space were in resonance with the vehicle’s natural frequency. This would have intensified the vibrations beyond the levels engineers expected.

The Super Heavy booster returned to Starbase in Texas to be caught back at the launch pad. Credit: SpaceX

Engineers test-fired the Starship vehicle for this week’s test flight earlier this month, validating changes to the ship’s fuel feed lines leading its six Raptor engines, adjustments to propellant temperatures, and a new operating thrust.

But engineers missed something. On Thursday, the Raptor engines began shutting down on Starship about eight minutes into the flight, and the rocket started tumbling 90 miles (146 kilometers) over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. SpaceX ground controllers lost all contact with the rocket about nine-and-a-half minutes after liftoff.

“Prior to the end of the ascent burn, an energetic event in the aft portion of Starship resulted in the loss of several Raptor engines,” SpaceX wrote on X. “This in turn led to a loss of attitude control and ultimately a loss of communications with Starship.”

Just like in January, residents and tourists across the Florida peninsula, the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands shared videos of fiery debris trails appearing in the twilight sky. Air traffic controllers diverted or delayed dozens of commercial airline flights flying through the debris footprint, just as they did in response to the January incident.

There were no immediate reports Thursday of any Starship wreckage falling over populated areas. In January, residents in the Turks and Caicos Islands recovered small debris fragments, including one piece that caused minor damage when it struck a car. The debris field from Thursday’s failed flight appeared to fall west of the areas where debris fell after Starship Flight 7.

A spokesperson for the Federal Aviation Administration said the regulatory agency will require SpaceX perform an investigation into Thursday’s Starship failure.

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When Europe needed it most, the Ariane 6 rocket finally delivered


“For this sovereignty, we must yield to the temptation of preferring SpaceX.”

Europe’s second Ariane 6 rocket lifted off from the Guiana Space Center on Thursday with a French military spy satellite. Credit: ESA-CNES-Arianespace-P. Piron

Europe’s Ariane 6 rocket lifted off Thursday from French Guiana and deployed a high-resolution reconnaissance satellite into orbit for the French military, notching a success on its first operational flight.

The 184-foot-tall (56-meter) rocket lifted off from Kourou, French Guiana, at 11: 24 am EST (16: 24 UTC). Twin solid-fueled boosters and a hydrogen-fueled core stage engine powered the Ariane 6 through thick clouds on an arcing trajectory north from the spaceport on South America’s northeastern coast.

The rocket shed its strap-on boosters a little more than two minutes into the flight, then jettisoned its core stage nearly eight minutes after liftoff. The spent rocket parts fell into the Atlantic Ocean. The upper stage’s Vinci engine ignited two times to reach a nearly circular polar orbit about 500 miles (800 kilometers) above the Earth. A little more than an hour after launch, the Ariane 6 upper stage deployed CSO-3, a sharp-eyed French military spy satellite, to begin a mission providing optical surveillance imagery to French intelligence agencies and military forces.

“This is an absolute pleasure for me today to announce that Ariane 6 has successfully placed into orbit the CSO-3 satellite,” said David Cavaillolès, who took over in January as CEO of Arianespace, the Ariane 6’s commercial operator. “Today, here in Kourou, we can say that thanks to Ariane 6, Europe and France have their own autonomous access to space back, and this is great news.”

This was the second flight of Europe’s new Ariane 6 rocket, following a mostly successful debut launch last July. The first test flight of the unproven Ariane 6 carried a batch of small, relatively inexpensive satellites. An Auxiliary Propulsion Unit (APU)—essentially a miniature second engine—on the upper stage shut down in the latter portion of the inaugural Ariane 6 flight, after the rocket reached orbit and released some of its payloads. But the unit malfunctioned before a third burn of the upper stage’s main engine, preventing the Ariane 6 from targeting a controlled reentry into the atmosphere.

The APU has several jobs on an Ariane 6 flight, including maintaining pressure inside the upper stage’s cryogenic propellant tanks, settling propellants before each main engine firing, and making fine adjustments to the rocket’s position in space. The APU appeared to work as designed Thursday, although this launch flew a less demanding profile than the test flight last year.

Is Ariane 6 the solution?

Ariane 6 has been exorbitantly costly and years late, but its first operational success comes at an opportune time for Europe.

Philippe Baptiste, France’s minister for research and higher education, says Ariane 6 is “proof of our space sovereignty,” as many European officials feel they can no longer rely on the United States. Baptiste, an engineer and former head of the French space agency, mentioned “sovereignty” so many times, turning his statement into a drinking game crossed my mind.

“The return of Donald Trump to the White House, with Elon Musk at his side, already has significant consequences on our research partnerships, on our commercial partnerships,” Baptiste said. “Should I mention the uncertainties weighing today on our cooperation with NASA and NOAA, when emblematic programs like the ISS (International Space Station) are being unilaterally questioned by Elon Musk?

“If we want to maintain our independence, ensure our security, and preserve our sovereignty, we must equip ourselves with the means for strategic autonomy, and space is an essential part of this,” he continued.

Philippe Baptiste arrives at a government question session at the Senate in Paris on March 5, 2025. Credit: Magali Cohen/Hans Lucas/AFP via Getty Images

Baptiste’s comments echo remarks from a range of European leaders in recent weeks.

French President Emmanuel Macron said in a televised address Wednesday night that the French were “legitimately worried” about European security after Trump reversed US policy on Ukraine. America’s NATO allies are largely united in their desire to continue supporting Ukraine in its defense against Russia’s invasion, while the Trump administration seeks a ceasefire that would require significant Ukrainian concessions.

“I want to believe that the United States will stay by our side, but we have to be prepared for that not to be the case,” Macron said. “The future of Europe does not have to be decided in Washington or Moscow.”

Friedrich Merz, set to become Germany’s next chancellor, said last month that Europe should strive to “achieve independence” from the United States. “It is clear that the Americans, at least this part of the Americans, this administration, are largely indifferent to the fate of Europe.”

Merz also suggested Germany, France, and the United Kingdom should explore cooperation on a European nuclear deterrent to replace that of the United States, which has committed to protecting European territory from Russian attack for more than 75 years. Macron said the French military, which runs the only nuclear forces in Europe fully independent of the United States, could be used to protect allies elsewhere on the continent.

Access to space is also a strategic imperative for Europe, and it hasn’t come cheap. ESA paid more than $4 billion to develop the Ariane 6 rocket as a cheaper, more capable replacement for the Ariane 5, which retired in 2023. There are still pressing questions about Ariane 6’s cost per launch and whether the rocket will ever be able to meet its price target and compete with SpaceX and other companies in the commercial market.

But European officials have freely admitted the commercial market is secondary on their list of Ariane 6 goals.

European satellite operators stopped launching their payloads on Russian rockets after the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Now, with Elon Musk inserting himself into European politics, there’s little appetite among European government officials to launch their satellites on SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket.

The second Ariane 6 rocket on the launch pad in French Guiana. Credit: ESA–S. Corvaja

The Falcon 9 was the go-to choice for the European Space Agency, the European Union, and several national governments in Europe after they lost access to Russia’s Soyuz rocket and when Europe’s homemade Ariane 6 and Vega rockets faced lengthy delays. ESA launched a $1.5 billion space telescope on a Falcon 9 rocket in 2023, then returned to SpaceX to launch a climate research satellite and an asteroid explorer last year. The European Union paid SpaceX to launch four satellites for its flagship Galileo navigation network.

European space officials weren’t thrilled to do this. ESA was somewhat more accepting of the situation, with the agency’s director general recognizing Europe was suffering from an “acute launcher crisis” two years ago. On the other hand, the EU refused to even acknowledge SpaceX’s role in delivering Galileo satellites to orbit in the text of a post-launch press release.

“For this sovereignty, we must yield to the temptation of preferring SpaceX or another competitor that may seem trendier, more reliable, or cheaper,” Baptiste said. “We did not yield for CSO-3, and we will not yield in the future. We cannot yield because doing so would mean closing the door to space for good, and there would be no turning back. This is why the first commercial launch of Ariane 6 is not just a technical and one-off success. It marks a new milestone, essential in the choice of European space independence and sovereignty.”

Two flights into its career, Ariane 6 seems to offer a technical solution for Europe’s needs. But at what cost? Arianespace hasn’t publicly disclosed the cost for an Ariane 6 launch, although it’s likely somewhere in the range of 80 million to 100 million euros, about 40 percent lower than the cost of an Ariane 5. This is about 50 percent more than SpaceX’s list price for a dedicated Falcon 9 launch.

A new wave of European startups should soon begin launching small rockets to gain a foothold in the continent’s launch industry. These include Isar Aerospace, which could launch its first Spectrum rocket in a matter of weeks. These companies have the potential to offer Europe an option for cheaper rides to space, but the startups won’t have a rocket in the class of Ariane 6 until at least the 2030s.

Until then, at least, European governments will have to pay more to guarantee autonomous access to space.

Photo of Stephen Clark

Stephen Clark is a space reporter at Ars Technica, covering private space companies and the world’s space agencies. Stephen writes about the nexus of technology, science, policy, and business on and off the planet.

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Norovirus vaccine hints at defusing explosive stomach bug in early trial


Phase I study showed vaccine was safe and spurred immune responses in older people.

An electron micrograph of norovirus. Credit: Getty| BSIP

In an early clinical trial, an experimental norovirus vaccine given as a pill produced defensive responses exactly where it counts—in the saliva of older people most vulnerable to the explosive stomach bug.

The results, published this week in Science Translational Medicine, are another step in the long effort to thwart the gruesome germ, which finds a way to violently hollow out innards wherever people go—from restaurants to natural wonders and even the high seas. It’s a robust, extremely infectious virus that spreads via the nauseating fecal-oral route. Infected people spew billions of virus particles in their vomit and diarrhea, and shedding can last weeks. The particles aren’t easily killed by hand sanitizers and can linger on surfaces for up to two weeks. Exposure to as few as 10 virus particles can spark an infection. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, norovirus causes an average of between 19 and 21 million cases of acute gastroenteritis in the US every year, leading to 109,000 hospitalizations and 900 deaths. This racks up an economic burden estimated to be $2 billion to $10.6 billion.

Vaccine design

For most, the gut-busting bug is miserable but usually over in a few days. But older people—especially those with underlying medical conditions—are vulnerable to severe outcomes. About 90 percent of people who die from a norovirus infection are people age 65 or older who live in long-term care facilities.

For this reason, researchers have aimed to design a vaccine that’s sure to be effective in older people, who typically have weaker immune responses just from the aging process. But, of course, this makes the already daunting task of developing a vaccine yet harder—and norovirus poses some specific challenges. For one, there aren’t a lot of good laboratory models and animal systems to run norovirus experiments or test candidate drugs. For example, healthy mice infected with a mouse version of norovirus don’t develop any symptoms (lucky critters). Then there’s the fact that norovirus isn’t one virus; it’s many. There are 49 different genotypes of norovirus, which have been categorized into 10 “genogroups.” It’s unclear if protection against one genotype or genogroup will help protect against the others, and if so, by how much.

Currently, there are several norovirus vaccines in the works, at various stages with various designs. The one published this week is being developed by a San Francisco-based company called Vaxart and uses a proprietary oral delivery system. The pill includes a deactivated virus particle (an adenovirus), which can’t replicate in people but can deliver the genetic blueprints of two molecules into cells lining our intestines. One of the genetic blueprints it delivers tells the intestinal cells how to manufacture a protein found on the outside of norovirus particles, called VP.1. Once manufactured in the intestines, VP.1 can train the immune system to identify invading norovirus particles and attack them. The other genetic code included in the vaccine is for what’s called an “adjuvant,” which is basically a booster molecule that helps rev up immune responses.

While several other vaccines in the works are delivered by injections, producing systemic responses, the idea of the pill is to build up immune responses to norovirus directly where it invades and attacks—the mucosal lining of the digestive tract, including the mouth and intestines. There is some preliminary data suggesting that having antibodies against norovirus in saliva correlates with protection from the virus.

Good news

Vaxart has previously published Phase I trial data showing that its pill is safe and well-tolerated in healthy adults ages 18 to 49. The study, published in 2018, also indicated that the pill generated “substantial” systemic and mucosal antibodies against norovirus.

For the new study, Vaxart did a repeat Phase I trial with 65 older people—ages 55 to 80, broken into groups of 55 to 65, and 66 to 80. The participants were randomly assigned to get either a placebo (22) or a low (16), medium (16), or high (11) dose of the vaccine VXA-G1.1-NN, which targets one genotype of norovirus. Again, the vaccine was safe and well-tolerated. There were no serious side effects. The most common side effects were headache and fatigue, which were reported at about the same rates among the placebo and vaccinated groups.

Further, detailed examination of the participants’ immune responses showed not only systemic response, but responses in distant mucus membranes. In the blood, two types of antibodies (IgA and IgG) increased by several fold after vaccination compared with the placebo group. The group with the largest responses was the one that received the high dose.

A test that acts as a surrogate for neutralizing antibody responses to norovirus indicated that the antibodies spurred by the vaccine could block the virus. Additional tests found that cellular immune responses were also activated and that the systemic responses result in protection in places far from the intestines—namely the mouth and nose. Saliva tests and nasal swabs found significant jumps in secreted IgA against norovirus.

Immune responses were strongest in the first two months after vaccination and diminished over time, but some persisted for nearly seven months. When the scientists looked at differences between the two age groups (55–65 and 65–80), they didn’t see significant differences, suggesting the vaccine was equally effective in the older group.

Overall, the scientists at Vaxart concluded that the vaccine “has the potential to inhibit infection, viral shedding, and transmission.”

“Overall, VXA-G1.1-NN administration in older adults led to robust and durable immunogenicity detected both in circulation and multiple mucosal sites, an exciting outcome considering that diminished cellular and mucosal immunity are typical in older populations,” they wrote.

Not so good news

The outlook isn’t entirely rosy, though—there is some bad news. While immune responses rose in statistically significant measures during this small early-stage trial, it’s unclear if that equates to real-life protection. And there’s some good reason to be wary. In 2023, Vaxart released results of a challenge study, in which 141 brave souls (76 vaccinated and 65 given a placebo) were deliberately exposed to norovirus to see if the vaccine was protective. The results were weak: 53 placebo-group members (81.5 percent) became infected with norovirus, as determined by a PCR test looking for genetic evidence of the virus in their stool—and so did 76 vaccinated people (60 percent). That worked out to the vaccine offering only a 29 percent lower relative risk of getting infected. Looking at whether infected people developed symptoms of acute gastroenteritis, the vaccine had a protective efficacy of about 21 percent: 34 vaccinated people (48 percent) versus 37 placebo-group members (57 percent) developed symptoms.

While the study was a disappointment, Vaxart wasn’t ready to give up, arguing that the challenge study used large-dose exposures that people wouldn’t encounter in the real world.

“We use lots of copies of virus to ensure a high infection rate. In nature, 10 to 15 copies of virus is generally enough to give certain susceptible individuals disease,” James Cummings, chief medical officer at Vaxart, said in an investor call reported by Fierce Biotech at the time. “Field efficacy generally goes up, because the amount of inoculum that is causing disease that will be seen in the field is far lower than what is seen in the challenge study. My projection is that we would see an improvement in the decrease of [acute gastroenteritis] with our vaccine.”

Even a slight boost in efficacy could make the vaccine seem worthwhile. A 2012 modeling study suggested that even a vaccine with 50 percent efficacy could avert up to 2.2 million cases and save up to $2 billion over four years.

For now, we’ll have to wait to see what future trial data shows. And Vaxart’s vaccine isn’t the only one in the pipeline, nor is it the furthest along. Moderna has a norovirus vaccine in a Phase 3 trial, which is a larger study that will look at efficacy. But, while the trial is just beginning, Moderna noted in a financial update in February that the trial has been put on hold by the Food and Drug Administration due to a possible neurological side effect in one participant.

“The trial is currently on FDA clinical hold following a single adverse event report of a case of Guillain-Barré syndrome, which is currently under investigation,” Moderna reported. “The Company does not expect an impact on the study’s efficacy readout timeline as enrollment in the Northern Hemisphere has already been completed. The timing of the Phase 3 readout will be dependent on case accruals.”

Photo of Beth Mole

Beth is Ars Technica’s Senior Health Reporter. Beth has a Ph.D. in microbiology from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and attended the Science Communication program at the University of California, Santa Cruz. She specializes in covering infectious diseases, public health, and microbes.

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“Wooly mice” a test run for mammoth gene editing

On Tuesday, the team behind the plan to bring mammoth-like animals back to the tundra announced the creation of what it is calling wooly mice, which have long fur reminiscent of the woolly mammoth. The long fur was created through the simultaneous editing of as many as seven genes, all with a known connection to hair growth, color, and/or texture.

But don’t think that this is a sort of mouse-mammoth hybrid. Most of the genetic changes were first identified in mice, not mammoths. So, the focus is on the fact that the team could do simultaneous editing of multiple genes—something that they’ll need to be able to do to get a considerable number of mammoth-like changes into the elephant genome.

Of mice and mammoths

The team at Colossal Biosciences has started a number of de-extinction projects, including the dodo and thylacine, but its flagship project is the mammoth. In all of these cases, the plan is to take stem cells from a closely related species that has not gone extinct, and edit a series of changes based on the corresponding genomes of the deceased species. In the case of the mammoth, that means the elephant.

But the elephant poses a large number of challenges, as the draft paper that describes the new mice acknowledges. “The 22-month gestation period of elephants and their extended reproductive timeline make rapid experimental assessment impractical,” the researchers acknowledge. “Further, ethical considerations regarding the experimental manipulation of elephants, an endangered species with complex social structures and high cognitive capabilities, necessitate alternative approaches for functional testing.”

So, they turned to a species that has been used for genetic experiments for over a century: the mouse. We can do all sorts of genetic manipulations in mice, and have ways of using embryonic stem cells to get those manipulations passed on to a new generation of mice.

For testing purposes, the mouse also has a very significant advantage: mutations that change its fur are easy to spot. Over the century-plus that we’ve been using mice for research, people have noticed and observed a huge variety of mutations that affect their fur, altering color, texture, and length. In many of these cases, the changes in the DNA that cause these changes have been identified.

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Do these dual images say anything about your personality?

There’s little that Internet denizens love more than a snazzy personality test—cat videos, maybe, or perpetual outrage. One trend that has gained popularity over the last several years is personality quizzes based on so-called ambiguous images—in which one sees either a young girl or an old man, for instance, or a skull or a little girl. It’s possible to perceive both images by shifting one’s perspective, but it’s the image one sees first that is said to indicate specific personality traits. According to one such quiz, seeing the young girl first means you are optimistic and a bit impulsive, while seeing the old man first would mean one is honest, faithful, and goal-oriented.

But is there any actual science to back up the current fad? There is not, according to a paper published in the journal PeerJ, whose authors declare these kinds of personality quizzes to be a new kind of psychological myth. That said, they did find a couple of intriguing, statistically significant correlations they believe warrant further research.

In 1892, a German humor magazine published the earliest known version of the “rabbit-duck illusion,” in which one can see either a rabbit or a duck, depending on one’s perspective—i.e., multistable perception. There have been many more such images produced since then, all of which create ambiguity by exploiting certain peculiarities of the human visual system, such as playing with illusory contours and how we perceive edges.

Such images have long fascinated scientists and philosophers because they seem to represent different ways of seeing. So naturally there is a substantial body of research drawing parallels between such images and various sociological, biological, or psychological characteristics.

For instance, a 2010 study examined BBC archival data on the duck-rabbit illusion from the 1950s and found that men see the duck more often than women, while older people were more likely to see the rabbit. A 2018 study of the “younger-older woman” ambiguous image asked participants to estimate the age of the woman they saw in the image. Older participants over 30 gave higher estimates than younger ones. This was confirmed by a 2021 study, although that study also found no correlation between participants’ age and whether they were more likely to see the older or younger woman in the image.

Do these dual images say anything about your personality? Read More »

these-hot-oil-droplets-can-bounce-off-any-surface

These hot oil droplets can bounce off any surface

The Hong Kong physicists were interested in hot droplets striking cold surfaces. Prior research showed there was less of a bouncing effect in such cases involving heated water droplets, with the droplets sticking to the surface instead thanks to various factors such as reduced droplet surface tension. The Hong Kong team discovered they could achieve enhanced bouncing by using hot droplets of less volatile liquids—namely, n-hexadecane, soybean oil, and silicon oil, which have lower saturation pressures compared to water.

Follow the bouncing droplet

The researchers tested these hot droplets (as well as burning and normal temperature droplets) on various solid, cold surfaces, including scratched glass, smooth glass, acrylic surfaces, surfaces with liquid-repellant coatings from candle soot, and surfaces coated with nanoparticles with varying “wettability” (i.e., how well particles stick to the surface). They captured the droplet behavior with both high-speed and thermal cameras, augmented with computer modeling.

The room-temperature droplets stuck to all the surfaces as expected, but the hot and burning droplets bounced. The team found that the bottom of a hot droplet cools faster than the top as it approaches a room-temperature surface, which causes hotter liquid within the droplet to flow from the edges toward the bottom. The air that is dragged to the bottom with it forms a thin cushion there and prevents the droplet from making contact with the surface, bouncing off instead. They dubbed the behavior “self-lubricated bouncing.”

“It is now clear that droplet-bouncing strategies are not isolated to engineering the substrate and that the thermophysical properties of droplets themselves are critical,” Jonathan B. Boreyko of Virginia Tech, who was not involved in the research, wrote in an accompanying commentary.

Future applications include improving the combustion efficiency of fuels or developing better fire-retardant coatings. “If burning droplets can’t stick to surfaces, they won’t be able to ignite new materials and allow fires to propagate,” co-author Pingan Zhu said. “Our study could help protect flammable materials like textiles from burning droplets. Confining fires to a smaller area and slowing their spread could give firefighters more time to put them out.”

DOI: Newton, 2025. 10.1016/j.newton.2025.100014  (About DOIs).

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AI versus the brain and the race for general intelligence


Intelligence, ±artificial

We already have an example of general intelligence, and it doesn’t look like AI.

There’s no question that AI systems have accomplished some impressive feats, mastering games, writing text, and generating convincing images and video. That’s gotten some people talking about the possibility that we’re on the cusp of AGI, or artificial general intelligence. While some of this is marketing fanfare, enough people in the field are taking the idea seriously that it warrants a closer look.

Many arguments come down to the question of how AGI is defined, which people in the field can’t seem to agree upon. This contributes to estimates of its advent that range from “it’s practically here” to “we’ll never achieve it.” Given that range, it’s impossible to provide any sort of informed perspective on how close we are.

But we do have an existing example of AGI without the “A”—the intelligence provided by the animal brain, particularly the human one. And one thing is clear: The systems being touted as evidence that AGI is just around the corner do not work at all like the brain does. That may not be a fatal flaw, or even a flaw at all. It’s entirely possible that there’s more than one way to reach intelligence, depending on how it’s defined. But at least some of the differences are likely to be functionally significant, and the fact that AI is taking a very different route from the one working example we have is likely to be meaningful.

With all that in mind, let’s look at some of the things the brain does that current AI systems can’t.

Defining AGI might help

Artificial general intelligence hasn’t really been defined. Those who argue that it’s imminent are either vague about what they expect the first AGI systems to be capable of or simply define it as the ability to dramatically exceed human performance at a limited number of tasks. Predictions of AGI’s arrival in the intermediate term tend to focus on AI systems demonstrating specific behaviors that seem human-like. The further one goes out on the timeline, the greater the emphasis on the “G” of AGI and its implication of systems that are far less specialized.

But most of these predictions are coming from people working in companies with a commercial interest in AI. It was notable that none of the researchers we talked to for this article were willing to offer a definition of AGI. They were, however, willing to point out how current systems fall short.

“I think that AGI would be something that is going to be more robust, more stable—not necessarily smarter in general but more coherent in its abilities,” said Ariel Goldstein, a researcher at Hebrew University of Jerusalem. “You’d expect a system that can do X and Y to also be able to do Z and T. Somehow, these systems seem to be more fragmented in a way. To be surprisingly good at one thing and then surprisingly bad at another thing that seems related.”

“I think that’s a big distinction, this idea of generalizability,” echoed neuroscientist Christa Baker of NC State University. “You can learn how to analyze logic in one sphere, but if you come to a new circumstance, it’s not like now you’re an idiot.”

Mariano Schain, a Google engineer who has collaborated with Goldstein, focused on the abilities that underlie this generalizability. He mentioned both long-term and task-specific memory and the ability to deploy skills developed in one task in different contexts. These are limited-to-nonexistent in existing AI systems.

Beyond those specific limits, Baker noted that “there’s long been this very human-centric idea of intelligence that only humans are intelligent.” That’s fallen away within the scientific community as we’ve studied more about animal behavior. But there’s still a bias to privilege human-like behaviors, such as the human-sounding responses generated by large language models

The fruit flies that Baker studies can integrate multiple types of sensory information, control four sets of limbs, navigate complex environments, satisfy their own energy needs, produce new generations of brains, and more. And they do that all with brains that contain under 150,000 neurons, far fewer than current large language models.

These capabilities are complicated enough that it’s not entirely clear how the brain enables them. (If we knew how, it might be possible to engineer artificial systems with similar capacities.) But we do know a fair bit about how brains operate, and there are some very obvious ways that they differ from the artificial systems we’ve created so far.

Neurons vs. artificial neurons

Most current AI systems, including all large language models, are based on what are called neural networks. These were intentionally designed to mimic how some areas of the brain operate, with large numbers of artificial neurons taking an input, modifying it, and then passing the modified information on to another layer of artificial neurons. Each of these artificial neurons can pass the information on to multiple instances in the next layer, with different weights applied to each connection. In turn, each of the artificial neurons in the next layer can receive input from multiple sources in the previous one.

After passing through enough layers, the final layer is read and transformed into an output, such as the pixels in an image that correspond to a cat.

While that system is modeled on the behavior of some structures within the brain, it’s a very limited approximation. For one, all artificial neurons are functionally equivalent—there’s no specialization. In contrast, real neurons are highly specialized; they use a variety of neurotransmitters and take input from a range of extra-neural inputs like hormones. Some specialize in sending inhibitory signals while others activate the neurons they interact with. Different physical structures allow them to make different numbers and connections.

In addition, rather than simply forwarding a single value to the next layer, real neurons communicate through an analog series of activity spikes, sending trains of pulses that vary in timing and intensity. This allows for a degree of non-deterministic noise in communications.

Finally, while organized layers are a feature of a few structures in brains, they’re far from the rule. “What we found is it’s—at least in the fly—much more interconnected,” Baker told Ars. “You can’t really identify this strictly hierarchical network.”

With near-complete connection maps of the fly brain becoming available, she told Ars that researchers are “finding lateral connections or feedback projections, or what we call recurrent loops, where we’ve got neurons that are making a little circle and connectivity patterns. I think those things are probably going to be a lot more widespread than we currently appreciate.”

While we’re only beginning to understand the functional consequences of all this complexity, it’s safe to say that it allows networks composed of actual neurons far more flexibility in how they process information—a flexibility that may underly how these neurons get re-deployed in a way that these researchers identified as crucial for some form of generalized intelligence.

But the differences between neural networks and the real-world brains they were modeled on go well beyond the functional differences we’ve talked about so far. They extend to significant differences in how these functional units are organized.

The brain isn’t monolithic

The neural networks we’ve generated so far are largely specialized systems meant to handle a single task. Even the most complicated tasks, like the prediction of protein structures, have typically relied on the interaction of only two or three specialized systems. In contrast, the typical brain has a lot of functional units. Some of these operate by sequentially processing a single set of inputs in something resembling a pipeline. But many others can operate in parallel, in some cases without any input activity going on elsewhere in the brain.

To give a sense of what this looks like, let’s think about what’s going on as you read this article. Doing so requires systems that handle motor control, which keep your head and eyes focused on the screen. Part of this system operates via feedback from the neurons that are processing the read material, causing small eye movements that help your eyes move across individual sentences and between lines.

Separately, there’s part of your brain devoted to telling the visual system what not to pay attention to, like the icon showing an ever-growing number of unread emails. Those of us who can read a webpage without even noticing the ads on it presumably have a very well-developed system in place for ignoring things. Reading this article may also mean you’re engaging the systems that handle other senses, getting you to ignore things like the noise of your heating system coming on while remaining alert for things that might signify threats, like an unexplained sound in the next room.

The input generated by the visual system then needs to be processed, from individual character recognition up to the identification of words and sentences, processes that involve systems in areas of the brain involved in both visual processing and language. Again, this is an iterative process, where building meaning from a sentence may require many eye movements to scan back and forth across a sentence, improving reading comprehension—and requiring many of these systems to communicate among themselves.

As meaning gets extracted from a sentence, other parts of the brain integrate it with information obtained in earlier sentences, which tends to engage yet another area of the brain, one that handles a short-term memory system called working memory. Meanwhile, other systems will be searching long-term memory, finding related material that can help the brain place the new information within the context of what it already knows. Still other specialized brain areas are checking for things like whether there’s any emotional content to the material you’re reading.

All of these different areas are engaged without you being consciously aware of the need for them.

In contrast, something like ChatGPT, despite having a lot of artificial neurons, is monolithic: No specialized structures are allocated before training starts. That’s in sharp contrast to a brain. “The brain does not start out as a bag of neurons and then as a baby it needs to make sense of the world and then determine what connections to make,” Baker noted. “There already a lot of constraints and specifics that are already set up.”

Even in cases where it’s not possible to see any physical distinction between cells specialized for different functions, Baker noted that we can often find differences in what genes are active.

In contrast, pre-planned modularity is relatively new to the AI world. In software development, “This concept of modularity is well established, so we have the whole methodology around it, how to manage it,” Schain said, “it’s really an aspect that is important for maybe achieving AI systems that can then operate similarly to the human brain.” There are a few cases where developers have enforced modularity on systems, but Goldstein said these systems need to be trained with all the modules in place to see any gain in performance.

None of this is saying that a modular system can’t arise within a neural network as a result of its training. But so far, we have very limited evidence that they do. And since we mostly deploy each system for a very limited number of tasks, there’s no reason to think modularity will be valuable.

There is some reason to believe that this modularity is key to the brain’s incredible flexibility. The region that recognizes emotion-evoking content in written text can also recognize it in music and images, for example. But the evidence here is mixed. There are some clear instances where a single brain region handles related tasks, but that’s not consistently the case; Baker noted that, “When you’re talking humans, there are parts of the brain that are dedicated to understanding speech, and there are different areas that are involved in producing speech.”

This sort of re-use of would also provide an advantage in terms of learning since behaviors developed in one context could potentially be deployed in others. But as we’ll see, the differences between brains and AI when it comes to learning are far more comprehensive than that.

The brain is constantly training

Current AIs generally have two states: training and deployment. Training is where the AI learns its behavior; deployment is where that behavior is put to use. This isn’t absolute, as the behavior can be tweaked in response to things learned during deployment, like finding out it recommends eating a rock daily. But for the most part, once the weights among the connections of a neural network are determined through training, they’re retained.

That may be starting to change a bit, Schain said. “There is now maybe a shift in similarity where AI systems are using more and more what they call the test time compute, where at inference time you do much more than before, kind of a parallel to how the human brain operates,” he told Ars. But it’s still the case that neural networks are essentially useless without an extended training period.

In contrast, a brain doesn’t have distinct learning and active states; it’s constantly in both modes. In many cases, the brain learns while doing. Baker described that in terms of learning to take jumpshots: “Once you have made your movement, the ball has left your hand, it’s going to land somewhere. So that visual signal—that comparison of where it landed versus where you wanted it to go—is what we call an error signal. That’s detected by the cerebellum, and its goal is to minimize that error signal. So the next time you do it, the brain is trying to compensate for what you did last time.”

It makes for very different learning curves. An AI is typically not very useful until it has had a substantial amount of training. In contrast, a human can often pick up basic competence in a very short amount of time (and without massive energy use). “Even if you’re put into a situation where you’ve never been before, you can still figure it out,” Baker said. “If you see a new object, you don’t have to be trained on that a thousand times to know how to use it. A lot of the time, [if] you see it one time, you can make predictions.”

As a result, while an AI system with sufficient training may ultimately outperform the human, the human will typically reach a high level of performance faster. And unlike an AI, a human’s performance doesn’t remain static. Incremental improvements and innovative approaches are both still possible. This also allows humans to adjust to changed circumstances more readily. An AI trained on the body of written material up until 2020 might struggle to comprehend teen-speak in 2030; humans could at least potentially adjust to the shifts in language. (Though maybe an AI trained to respond to confusing phrasing with “get off my lawn” would be indistinguishable.)

Finally, since the brain is a flexible learning device, the lessons learned from one skill can be applied to related skills. So the ability to recognize tones and read sheet music can help with the mastery of multiple musical instruments. Chemistry and cooking share overlapping skillsets. And when it comes to schooling, learning how to learn can be used to master a wide range of topics.

In contrast, it’s essentially impossible to use an AI model trained on one topic for much else. The biggest exceptions are large language models, which seem to be able to solve problems on a wide variety of topics if they’re presented as text. But here, there’s still a dependence on sufficient examples of similar problems appearing in the body of text the system was trained on. To give an example, something like ChatGPT can seem to be able to solve math problems, but it’s best at solving things that were discussed in its training materials; giving it something new will generally cause it to stumble.

Déjà vu

For Schain, however, the biggest difference between AI and biology is in terms of memory. For many AIs, “memory” is indistinguishable from the computational resources that allow it to perform a task and was formed during training. For the large language models, it includes both the weights of connections learned then and a narrow “context window” that encompasses any recent exchanges with a single user. In contrast, biological systems have a lifetime of memories to rely on.

“For AI, it’s very basic: It’s like the memory is in the weights [of connections] or in the context. But with a human brain, it’s a much more sophisticated mechanism, still to be uncovered. It’s more distributed. There is the short term and long term, and it has to do a lot with different timescales. Memory for the last second, a minute and a day or a year or years, and they all may be relevant.”

This lifetime of memories can be key to making intelligence general. It helps us recognize the possibilities and limits of drawing analogies between different circumstances or applying things learned in one context versus another. It provides us with insights that let us solve problems that we’ve never confronted before. And, of course, it also ensures that the horrible bit of pop music you were exposed to in your teens remains an earworm well into your 80s.

The differences between how brains and AIs handle memory, however, are very hard to describe. AIs don’t really have distinct memory, while the use of memory as the brain handles a task more sophisticated than navigating a maze is generally so poorly understood that it’s difficult to discuss at all. All we can really say is that there are clear differences there.

Facing limits

It’s difficult to think about AI without recognizing the enormous energy and computational resources involved in training one. And in this case, it’s potentially relevant. Brains have evolved under enormous energy constraints and continue to operate using well under the energy that a daily diet can provide. That has forced biology to figure out ways to optimize its resources and get the most out of the resources it does commit to.

In contrast, the story of recent developments in AI is largely one of throwing more resources at them. And plans for the future seem to (so far at least) involve more of this, including larger training data sets and ever more artificial neurons and connections among them. All of this comes at a time when the best current AIs are already using three orders of magnitude more neurons than we’d find in a fly’s brain and have nowhere near the fly’s general capabilities.

It remains possible that there is more than one route to those general capabilities and that some offshoot of today’s AI systems will eventually find a different route. But if it turns out that we have to bring our computerized systems closer to biology to get there, we’ll run into a serious roadblock: We don’t fully understand the biology yet.

“I guess I am not optimistic that any kind of artificial neural network will ever be able to achieve the same plasticity, the same generalizability, the same flexibility that a human brain has,” Baker said. “That’s just because we don’t even know how it gets it; we don’t know how that arises. So how do you build that into a system?”

Photo of John Timmer

John is Ars Technica’s science editor. He has a Bachelor of Arts in Biochemistry from Columbia University, and a Ph.D. in Molecular and Cell Biology from the University of California, Berkeley. When physically separated from his keyboard, he tends to seek out a bicycle, or a scenic location for communing with his hiking boots.

AI versus the brain and the race for general intelligence Read More »

the-iss-is-nearly-as-microbe-free-as-an-isolation-ward

The ISS is nearly as microbe-free as an isolation ward

“One of the more similar environments to the ISS was in the isolation dorms on the UCSD campus during the COVID-19 pandemic. All surfaces were continuously sterilized, so that microbial signatures would be erased by the time another person would show up,” Benitez said. So, one of the first solutions to the ISS microbial diversity problem he and his colleagues suggested was that they perhaps should ease up on sterilizing the station so much.

“The extensive use of disinfection chemicals might not be the best approach to maintaining a healthy microbial environment, although there is certainly plenty of research to be conducted,” Benitez said.

Space-faring gardens

He suggested that introducing microbes that are beneficial to human health might be better than constantly struggling to wipe out all microbial life on the station. And while some modules up there do need to be sterilized, keeping some beneficial microbes alive could be achieved by designing future spacecraft in a way that accounts for how the microbes spread.

“We found that microbes in modules with little human activity tend to stay in those modules without spreading. When human activity is high in a module, then the microbes spread to adjacent modules,”  Zhao said. She said spacecraft could be designed to put modules with high human activity at one end and the modules with little to no human activity at the opposite end, so the busy modules don’t contaminate the ones that need to remain sterile. “We are of course talking as microbiologists and chemists—perhaps spacecraft engineers have more pressing reasons to put certain modules at certain spots,” Zhao said. “These are just preliminary ideas.”

But what about crewed deep space missions to Mars and other destinations in the Solar System? Should we carefully design the microbial composition beforehand, plant the microbes on the spacecraft and hope this artificial, closed ecosystem will work for years without any interventions from Earth?

“I’d take a more holistic ecosystem approach,” Benitez said. He imagines in the future we could build spacecraft and space stations hosting entire gardens with microbes that would interact with plants, pollinators, and animals to create balanced, self-sustaining ecosystems. “We’d not only need to think about sending the astronauts and the machines they need to function, but also about all other lifeforms we will need to send along with them,” Benitez said

Cell, 2025. DOI: 10.1016/j.cell.2025.01.039

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we’ve-figured-out-the-basics-of-a-shape-shifting,-t-1000-style-material

We’ve figured out the basics of a shape-shifting, T-1000-style material

Campàs and his colleagues decided to design cell-like robots that could do all those things.

T-1000 building blocks

Each robot had motorized gears around its perimeter that could interlock with gears on other robots. The gears allowed the robots to move within the collective without breaking their bonds with each other, just like cells do in a living organism.

Linking the robots was a job of magnets that could rotate to maintain adhesion regardless of their orientation. Each robot also had a photodetector that could sense the polarity of light, allowing basic commands to be sent using a simple flashlight with a polarization filter. “The switch between solid and liquid states was driven by fluctuations of the force the motors applied, and we encoded the intensity of those fluctuations in the intensity of light,” says Matthew Devlin, a researcher at the Department of Mechanical Engineering at the University of California Santa Barbara and lead author of the study.

In response to light signals, two robotic collectives, 20 robots total, could elongate toward each other, touch in the middle, and form a bridge that could hold a load of just under 5 kilograms. After forming a cube, they could support an adult human weighing around 70 kilograms. They could also flow around an object, assume a complementary shape, and stiffen up to act as a wrench. “This was the Terminator idea of shapeshifting. This was exactly what we had in mind,” Campàs claims.

The only problem was, the robots were a bit above 5 centimeters in diameter. To get robotic collectives closer to Terminator’s mimetic polyalloy, the team wants to make the robots smaller. Much smaller.

Terminator nanobots?

“The good news is, you don’t have to go down with scale to what you see in living systems,” Campàs says. “Cells are roughly 10 microns. But anything around 100 microns—even up to 1 millimeter—robots would already be really impressive.” Unfortunately, we are rather far from making machines that small.

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federal-firings-could-wreak-havoc-on-great-lakes-fishery

Federal firings could wreak havoc on Great Lakes fishery

Her performance reviews for the last year had been glowing, so the letter made no sense. “It’s not a real explanation,” she said.

The USFWS layoffs will not affect the sea lamprey control program in Canada, McClinchey said. “The Canadian government has assured us that the money from Canada will continue to be there and we’re on track to deliver a full program in Canadian waters,” he said. “That’s great, but this program works because it’s border blind.”

In other words: Cuts to lamprey control in US waters are a threat to fish and fishermen everywhere on the Great Lakes.

Just a week ago, the Great Lakes Fishery Commission faced a more dire staffing situation, as the USFWS informed directors they’d also be unable to hire seasonal workers to spread lampricide come April. Within a few days, that hiring freeze was reversed, said McClinchey.

This reversal gives him a bit of hope. “That at least tells us no one is rooting for the lamprey,” he said.

McClinchey is currently in DC for appropriation season, presenting the commission’s work to members of Congress and defending the agency’s budget. It’s an annual trip, but this year he’s also advocating for the reinstatement of laid-off lamprey control employees.

He is optimistic. “It seems clear to me that it’s important we preserve this program, and so far everyone we’ve encountered thinks that way and are working to that end,” he said.

Cutting back the program isn’t really on the table for the commission. Even minor cuts to scope would be devastating for the fishery, he said.

Even the former USFWS employee from Marquette is remaining hopeful. “I still think that they’re going to scramble to make it happen,” she said. “Because it’s not really an option to just stop treating for a whole season.”

This story originally appeared on Inside Climate News.

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spacex-readies-a-redo-of-last-month’s-ill-fated-starship-test-flight

SpaceX readies a redo of last month’s ill-fated Starship test flight


The FAA has cleared SpaceX to launch Starship’s eighth test flight as soon as Monday.

Ship 34, destined to launch on the next Starship test flight, test-fired its engines in South Texas on February 12. Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX plans to launch the eighth full-scale test flight of its enormous Starship rocket as soon as Monday after receiving regulatory approval from the Federal Aviation Administration.

The test flight will be a repeat of what SpaceX hoped to achieve on the previous Starship launch in January, when the rocket broke apart and showered debris over the Atlantic Ocean and Turks and Caicos Islands. The accident prevented SpaceX from completing many of the flight’s goals, such as testing Starship’s satellite deployment mechanism and new types of heat shield material.

Those things are high on the to-do list for Flight 8, set to lift off at 5: 30 pm CST (6: 30 pm EST; 23: 30 UTC) Monday from SpaceX’s Starbase launch facility on the Texas Gulf Coast. Over the weekend, SpaceX plans to mount the rocket’s Starship upper stage atop the Super Heavy booster already in position on the launch pad.

The fully stacked rocket will tower 404 feet (123.1 meters) tall. Like the test flight on January 16, this launch will use a second-generation, Block 2, version of Starship with larger propellant tanks with 25 percent more volume than previous vehicle iterations. The payload compartment near the ship’s top is somewhat smaller than the payload bay on Block 1 Starships.

This block upgrade moves SpaceX closer to attempting more challenging things with Starship, such as returning the ship, or upper stage, back to the launch site from orbit. It will be caught with the launch tower at Starbase, just like SpaceX accomplished last year with the Super Heavy booster. Officials also want to bring Starship into service to launch Starlink Internet satellites and demonstrate in-orbit refueling, an enabling capability for future Starship flights to the Moon and Mars.

NASA has contracts with SpaceX worth more than $4 billion to develop a Starship spinoff as a human-rated Moon lander for the Artemis lunar program. The mega-rocket is central to Elon Musk’s ambition to create a human settlement on Mars.

Another shot at glory

Other changes introduced on Starship Version 2 include redesigned forward flaps, which are smaller and closer to the tip of the ship’s nose to better protect them from the scorching heat of reentry. Technicians also removed some of the ship’s thermal protection tiles to “stress-test vulnerable areas” of the vehicle during descent. SpaceX is experimenting with metallic tile designs, including one with active cooling, that might be less brittle than the ceramic tiles used elsewhere on the ship.

Engineers also installed rudimentary catch fittings on the ship to evaluate how they respond to the heat of reentry, when temperatures outside the vehicle climb to 2,600° Fahrenheit (1,430° Celsius). Read more about Starship Version in this previous story from Ars.

It will take about 1 hour and 6 minutes for Starship to fly from the launch pad in South Texas to a splashdown zone in the Indian Ocean northwest of Australia. The rocket’s Super Heavy booster will fire 33 methane-fueled Raptor engines for two-and-a-half minutes as it climbs east from the Texas coastline, then jettison from the Starship upper stage and reverse course to return to Starbase for another catch with mechanical arms on the launch tower.

Meanwhile, Starship will ignite six Raptor engines and accelerate to a speed just shy of orbital velocity, putting the ship on a trajectory to reenter the atmosphere after soaring about halfway around the world.

Booster 15 perched on the launch mount at Starbase, Texas. Credit: SpaceX

If you’ve watched the last few Starship flights, this profile probably sounds familiar. SpaceX achieved successful splashdowns after three Starship test flights last year, and hoped to do it again before the premature end of Flight 7 in January. Instead, the accident was the most significant technical setback for the Starship program since the first full-scale test flight in 2023, which damaged the launch pad before the rocket spun out of control in the upper atmosphere.

Now, SpaceX hopes to get back on track. At the end of last year, company officials said they targeted as many as 25 Starship flights in 2025. Two months in, SpaceX is about to launch its second Starship of the year.

The breakup of Starship last month prevented SpaceX from evaluating the performance of the ship’s Pez-like satellite deployer and upgraded heat shield. Engineers are eager to see how those perform on Monday’s flight. Once in space, the ship will release four simulators replicating the approximate size and mass of SpaceX’s next-generation Starlink Internet satellites. They will follow the same suborbital trajectory as Starship and reenter the atmosphere over the Indian Ocean.

That will be followed by a restart of a Raptor engine on Starship in space, repeating a feat first achieved on Flight 6 in November. Officials want to ensure Raptor engines can reignite reliably in space before actually launching Starship into a stable orbit, where the ship must burn an engine to guide itself back into the atmosphere for a controlled reentry. With another suborbital flight on tap Monday, the engine relight is purely a confidence-building demonstration and not critical for a safe return to Earth.

The flight plan for Starship’s next launch includes another attempt to catch the Super Heavy booster with the launch tower, a satellite deployment demonstration, and an important test of its heat shield. Credit: SpaceX

Then, about 47 minutes into the mission, Starship will plunge back into the atmosphere. If this flight is like the previous few, expect to see live high-definition video streaming back from Starship as super-heated plasma envelops the vehicle in a cloak of pink and orange. Finally, air resistance will slow the ship below the speed of sound, and just 20 seconds before reaching the ocean, the rocket will flip to a vertical orientation and reignite its Raptor engines again to brake for splashdown.

This is where SpaceX hopes Starship Version 2 will shine. Although three Starships have made it to the ocean intact, the scorching temperatures of reentry damaged parts of their heat shields and flaps. That won’t do for SpaceX’s vision of rapidly reusing Starship with minimal or no refurbishment. Heat shield repairs slowed down the turnaround time between NASA’s space shuttle missions, and officials hope the upgraded heat shield on Starship Version 2 will decrease the downtime.

FAA’s green light

The FAA confirmed Friday it issued a launch license earlier this week for Starship Flight 8.

“The FAA determined SpaceX met all safety, environmental and other licensing requirements for the suborbital test flight,” an FAA spokesperson said in a statement.

The federal regulator oversaw a SpaceX-led investigation into the failure of Flight 7. SpaceX said NASA, the National Transportation Safety Board, and the US Space Force also participated in the investigation, which determined that propellant leaks and fires in an aft compartment, or attic, of Starship led to the shutdown of its engines and eventual breakup.

Engineers concluded the leaks were most likely caused by a harmonic response several times stronger than predicted, suggesting the vibrations during the ship’s climb into space were in resonance with the vehicle’s natural frequency. This would have intensified the vibrations beyond the levels engineers expected from ground testing.

Earlier this month, SpaceX completed an extended-duration static fire of the next Starship upper stage to test hardware modifications at multiple engine thrust levels. According to SpaceX, findings from the static fire informed changes to the fuel feed lines to Starship’s Raptor engines, adjustments to propellant temperatures, and a new operating thrust for the next test flight.

“To address flammability potential in the attic section on Starship, additional vents and a new purge system utilizing gaseous nitrogen are being added to the current generation of ships to make the area more robust to propellant leakage,” SpaceX said. “Future upgrades to Starship will introduce the Raptor 3 engine, reducing the attic volume and eliminating the majority of joints that can leak into this volume.”

FAA officials were apparently satisfied with all of this. The agency’s commercial spaceflight division completed a “comprehensive safety review” and determined Starship can return to flight operations while the investigation into the Flight 7 failure remains open. This isn’t new. The FAA also used this safety determination to expedite SpaceX launch license approvals last year as officials investigated mishaps on Starship and Falcon 9 rocket flights.

Photo of Stephen Clark

Stephen Clark is a space reporter at Ars Technica, covering private space companies and the world’s space agencies. Stephen writes about the nexus of technology, science, policy, and business on and off the planet.

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